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Data

Reading the $929 Million: What the IC3 Numbers Actually Tell You

DataSeptember 8, 20265 min read

US victims reported $929.3m to the FBI's IC3 in 2025 — up 38% in a year. What that number does and does not mean, and why the real figure is a range, not a point.

Reading standardSourced claims · labelled composites · no verdicts about people

In 2025, the FBI's Internet Crime Complaint Center recorded $929.3 million in reported losses to romance and investment fraud, up 38% in a single year. It is the number we print on our homepage — and it is worth reading carefully.

What the number is

It is the sum of what victims chose to report, to one US agency. IC3 counts complaints, not crimes. That is why every figure on our evidence band sits next to its source and its year: the number is only as honest as the label on it.

What it is not

FTC data puts the reporting rate at roughly one incident in twenty. Multiply the reported figure by twenty and the "real" number stops being a point and becomes a range. And the least likely reporters are the people least likely to report — older adults, and people who feel shame about a romance fraud. The official number is a floor, not an estimate.

What the shape tells you

Three things in the data matter more than the total. One: about 60% of these scripts start on general social media, not dating apps — the fraud has moved from places people are cautious to places they are casual. Two: 94% of victims recover nothing — which is why the first hour (bank, card, report) is the only window where money comes back. Three: the 38% year-on-year rise mixes more victims with better reporting, and nobody can cleanly split the two — which is exactly why we print the source and the year beside every number.

What it means for you

The number is not a prediction that you will be targeted. It is a description of how targeting works at scale: slow, personal, and aimed at the places you already trust. The cheapest defence in the data is the one our whole product is built around — verify on a second channel before money moves.

How to read a Field Note. The article separates published figures, composite script examples and practical actions. A repeated pattern can tell you what to verify next; it cannot identify a person or prove intent.
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Anatomy of a Pig Butchering ScriptCase study — 7 min readThe Second Hit: Why Recovery Agents Are the Next ScamAnalysis — 6 min readCase filesThree labelled composites of the pattern.How to report a scamWhere and what to send, plus the one-step portal.
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Sources behind the rule library +

FBI IC3 Internet Crime Report 2025 · FTC Consumer Sentinel and the April 2026 romance-fraud release · City of London Police (May 2026) · AARP Fraud Watch Network (Feb 2026) · McAfee Labs 2026 · CFPB elder-fraud guidance · FINRA Rule 2165 and Trusted Contact guidance.

© 2026 PrivateCue. Not legal, financial or law-enforcement advice. PrivateCue reports resemblance to documented fraud scripts; it never makes a finding that a specific person committed a crime. In immediate danger, contact local emergency services.